Our earlier July blog — When a city builds, where does nature go? — asked where the compensating habitat goes physically, and found it travels a median 36 kilometres from where it was lost, and to less deprived places — this remains true today.
Note: These two blogs analyse their data differently — using a different classification of authorities, and 357 gain plans rather than 202 available in July — so figures should not be read across from one to the other. Where they appear to disagree, the note at the end explains why.
This blog asks a different question: how much habitat moves away, and do small development sites explain this?
We’ve been collecting evidence from the following sources:
- 357 biodiversity gain plans downloaded from 38 local planning authorities’ planning portals and their FoI responses
- the Biodiversity Gain Sites register (BGS register) as of 19 August 2026 — 2,328 developments and 2,686allocations.
We’ve also analysed the published statutory metric calculations, which give measured site areas for 202 of the plans.
We set out two findings that only appear when these datasets are looked at together. They are as follows:
Urban England is a net exporter of habitat units, at scale
The BGS register records, for every development that bought off-site units, whether the gain site sits within the same authority, in a neighbouring one, or somewhere else. We’ve classified each authority by its ONS 2021 Rural Urban Classification. The pattern is stark.

Nine in ten developments in Office of National Statistics (ONS)-defined urban authorities compensate outside their own area. In London it is 98.2% — of 113 developments on the BGS, two compensated at home. Urban authorities between them need 1,435 area units and host 602: a net outflow of 833 units of habitat from towns and cities to the countryside. What that means on the ground: at 192 Beech Hall Road in Waltham Forest, two new houses buy their 0.07 units from a habitat bank at Puddington in Mid Devon — 267 kilometres away — and deliver nothing at all on site. Section 6 of their gain plan, the section that records on-site enhancement, is blank.
Both rural classes are net importers on average, but the averages conceal a very wide spread. For example, the largest single importer is Barnsley (an ONS urban authority) which hosts 101.7 units against the 3.3 its own developments require. At the other end, Cherwell (an ONS Intermediate urban authority) needs 76.2 units and hosts 0.95, Westmorland and Furness (an ONS Intermediate rural authority) requires 61.2 but hosts nothing, while Manchester (an ONS urban authority) needs 48.6 but hosts nothing. What determines whether an authority imports or exports is not how urban it is, but whether anyone has registered a habitat bank inside it.
Note what the table does not show. There is no clean four-step gradient from urban to rural: Intermediate rural (59.3%) sits slightly below Majority rural (61.7%). The gradient is in fact two-step: strongly urban authorities export almost everything; for everywhere else the figure sits at around 60%.
Site size doesn’t explain it
The obvious explanation is that urban sites are cramped. A development on a small plot has nowhere to put lost habitat, so it buys it elsewhere. If that were right, the export pattern would be a led by size rather than policy, but this is not what happens.
Taking the 202 plans for which we hold a measured site area, we can see that between 40% and 47% of measured sites are at or below 0.2 hectares across every ONS class, with the median site between 0.21 and 0.28 hectares, whether the authority is Manchester or mid-Devon. The overall median is 0.243 hectares; a quarter of all sites are below 0.102 ha.

Nor do small sites drive habitat off site. Of the 90 sites at or below 0.2 hectares, 34% use off-site compensation (off-site or both — question 4.6 of the required Biodiversity Gain Plan). Of the 112 larger sites, 42% do. The relationship runs, weakly, the wrong way for the cramped-site theory.So the export of habitat from towns is not a consequence of urban plots being small. It is a consequence of where the available habitat banks are — and they are in the countryside, because that is where land is both cheaper and available. The spatial risk multiplier is meant to discourage distant compensation. On this evidence it is not discouraging it much.
What small sites actually deliver
The small-site analysis is worth reporting in its own right, because percentage compliance conceals what’s happening in absolute terms.

Small sites are 45% of all measured sites but only 6.6% of the baseline biodiversity. Their median pre-development value is 0.170 biodiversity units — so the minimum statutory 10% BNG required amounts to 0.017 of a unit, equivalent to an area of improved habitat you could easily step across.
They meet the target as reliably as anyone: median on-site net change is +11.5% on small sites against +11.8% on larger ones. That equivalence is the point.
But percentage is not a quantity. Two developments can both report ‘12% net gain’ while one creates a meadow and the other creates a planter, and the 10% BNG test cannot tell them apart.
This matters most in towns, because that is where small sites and high export rates coincide — 44 of the 97 measured urban sites are at or below 0.2 ha, and 90.4% of developments in urban areas send their compensation away. The residual on-site gain left behind in urban England is, in absolute terms, very small indeed.
Our own biodiversity gain plan analysis points the same way. Across all 357 plans analysed so far, 37% use off-site compensation — but that splits 42% in ONS urban authorities against 28% everywhere else. The median on-site net change tells the same story from the other end: +11.0% in urban authorities against +12.5% in non-urban ones. Urban development both delivers less at home and sends more away.
The rules have just changed — but in the same direction as before
From 6 August 2026, three changes take effect for planning applications made on or after that date. Each pushes in the same direction as the pattern set out above.
Development on sites of 0.2 hectares or less is now exempt from mandatory BNG altogether, unless on-site priority habitat is affected. Government expects this to remove around half of residential planning permissions from the regime. In our dataset it would remove 90 of the 202 sites we can measure — 45% of them — and in ONS Urban authorities, 44 of 97.
Those are precisely the sites already contributing least: 6.6% of the baseline biodiversity, and 0.021 of a unit of gain apiece. So the honest reading is that not much is being given up. But not much becomes nothing; the survey that would at least have recorded what was there is no longer required. In towns, where 45% of sites are that small, the regime stops seeing a large part of what gets built.
Minor development no longer has to try on-site compensation first. The biodiversity gain hierarchy is relaxed, so that off-site delivery counts equally with on-site provision. Our data suggests that hierarchy was doing real work: small sites currently use off-site compensation less than large ones — 34% against 42% — which is the opposite of what cost alone would predict. Remove the duty to try on-site first and that gap has only one direction in which to close.
The spatial risk multiplier is being rebased on Local Nature Recovery Strategy areas, cutting the number of habitat trading areas from 306 local planning authorities, or 159 National Character Areas, to 48 LNRS areas.
This is the change that bears most directly on the figures above, and it’s worth being exact about what it does. The BGS already distinguishes compensation that stays inside the development’s own authority from compensation that goes to a different authority in the same LNRS area. We count the second as leaving the authority, because it does, but under the new regime it will attract no spatial risk penalty at all.
Of the 2,328 developments in the current BGS register, 502 — 21.6% — will move from distant to local allocations without a single unit of habitat changing place. In Urban authorities the shift is larger still: 274 developments take the urban share compensating locally from 9.6% to 34.4%.
The reform doesn’t change where the habitat goes. It changes what the metric now treats as local with no spatial risk penalty.
What this does and doesn’t prove
- The two datasets count different things. The BGS covers only developments that bought off-site units. It says nothing about the majority of permissions that are met wholly on site. Our 357 gain plans are a hand-collected sample from 38 authorities, not a random one. Where the two are combined above, it’s to test an explanation, not to produce a single national rate.
- Hosting is inferred, not stated. The BGS register names the authority of the development but not of the gain site. We place a site in the authority whose developments record an allocation from it as ‘Within (LPA)’, which locates 145 of 212 sites carrying 81% of all units. The remaining 568 units sit on sites used by no development in their own authority; where they are is unknown, so the hosted column is the minimum measurable.
- Site area is not the same as the exemption area. Our site areas are based on the baseline habitat area recorded in the statutory metric, not the red line application area against which the 0.2 hectare exemption is measured. The two are close but not identical, so 45% is an estimate of how many of our sites would fall outside the new regime, not a count of them.
- Publication is patchy. The BGS register proves the existence of 269 gain plans across 32 authorities, but we hold no local copy of any of these. Each one is a development that cannot have begun without an authority-approved plan. Meanwhile, two authorities have now told us, in answer to FoI requests, about gain plans that are not on their own portals: one listed 60 discharge applications of which 20 could not be found, and the other scheduled six approved gain plans of which two could not be found. That’s a separate issue, but it bears on how much of this picture anyone outside a planning department can see.
Is the BNG regime delivering on its promise?
Biodiversity net gain was sold as a mechanism that would leave development areas richer in nature than it found them. What the BGS register shows, however, is that 833 area units of habitat, net, have left urban England for the countryside, with London exporting 93% of everything its developments require.
That may be defensible ecologically — larger, better-connected habitat banks can be worth more than fragmented urban parcels which may be badly delivered — though the metric’s multipliers are meant to price that in. But it’s not what most people understood the new regime promised, and it’s happening without anyone having decided that it should. The people who lose the nature are not the people who gain it.
If the answer is that urban compensation should stay urban, the levers were there — the spatial risk multiplier, local nature recovery strategies, and the authority’s own discretion over what it accepts. Two of those three have just been loosened. The multiplier is now being based on areas seven times larger than the authorities it replaced, the duty to try on site first has gone for minor development, and a large share of urban sites will shortly sit outside the regime altogether. What is left is local discretion — and an authority that wants nature to stay in its own town will now have to ask for it explicitly, knowing the metric no longer requires it.
Note on our July 2026
Our earlier July post’s figures are not directly comparable with the figures used here. Then, we classified authorities by hand rather than by ONS category, and had only analysed 202 plans. We also reported on-site change as an average weighted by habitat value, which on a dataset with 202 records was decided by two or three large schemes — Plymouth alone moved the current figure by fourteen points. We now use the median values per plan. Our finding that urban schemes rely more on off-site compensation is unaffected.
Dataset: 357 biodiversity gain plans from 38 local planning authorities; Biodiversity Gain Sites BGS register extract of 19 August 2026 (2,328 developments, 2,686 allocations, 3,030.11 area habitat units); statutory metrics giving a measured site area for 202 plans. Authorities are classified by the ONS 2021 Rural Urban Classification of Local Authority Districts, matched by ONS area code. Bristol Tree Forum.
Our detailed analysis is available here – BGP Full Data Extract v11. However, as this is a working document which we are building on all the time, it is likely that many of the figures quoted above will have changed.



